Is solar worth it in North Carolina?

A 7.0 kW rooftop system near Charlotte produces about 10,125 kWh a year. Priced against the 50 residential tariffs currently on file in North Carolina, payback runs from 8 years on the best of them to 44 on the worst.

No federal tax credit applies to a purchased system. Section 25D ended on December 31, 2025. Leases and power-purchase agreements can still reach the business credit (48E) through 2027, but it is claimed by the system's owner, not by you. Every figure on this page assumes no federal credit and no state or utility incentive.
1446kWh per kW per year
#11of 36 states measured
51%used on site, not exported
$21,000system cost at $3.00/W

Why the tariff matters more than the panels

Two households in North Carolina with identical roofs and identical systems can see paybacks 8 and 44 years apart, purely because they are on different tariffs. Solar produces at midday; households consume in the evening. Only 51% of what these panels make is used as it is made — the rest is exported, and what an exported kWh earns is set by the tariff and by state net metering rules, not by the hardware.

That is why the figures here are computed hour by hour against each real tariff rather than by taking a bill and assuming solar removes a share of it. How this is modeled →

Payback by tariff in North Carolina

7.0 kW system at $3.00/W, household using 1000 kWh a month, no incentives. A range means the export credit is not filed with the tariff and the outcome depends on net metering rules — 41 of 50 tariffs here belong to a utility that reports residential net metering.

UtilityTariffStructure Annual savingPayback
Virginia Electric & Power Co Residential Off-Peak Plan Time-of-use $1,259–$2,544 8–17y
Virginia Electric & Power Co EV Residential Electric Vehicle Charging (Experimental) Time-of-use $1,096–$1,988 11–19y
Roanoke Electric Member Corp Residential Service - Time of Day Time-of-use $1,104–$1,753 12–19y
Virginia Electric & Power Co Residential Schedule 1G (Experimental Service) Time-of-use $793–$1,634 13–26y
Virginia Electric & Power Co 1EV Residential Service with Electric Vehicle Charging (Experimental) Time-of-use $868–$1,633 13–24y
Virginia Electric & Power Co Residential Schedule 1 Time-of-use + tiered $822–$1,626 13–26y
Virginia Electric & Power Co Residential Energy TOU Schedule 1T Time-of-use $730–$1,575 13–29y
Blue Ridge Elec Member Corp Residential TOU Pilot - Single Phase Time-of-use $1,010–$1,532 14–21y
Roanoke Electric Member Corp Residential Service Flat $770–$1,505 14–27y
Progress Energy Carolinas Inc Residential Service - Single Phase Time-of-use + tiered $751–$1,478 14–28y
Progress Energy Carolinas Inc Residential Service - Three Phase Time-of-use + tiered $747–$1,474 14–28y
Progress Energy Carolinas Inc Residential Time of Use (R-TOU) Three Phase Time-of-use $631–$1,459 14–33y
Progress Energy Carolinas Inc Residential Time of Use (R-TOU) Single Phase Time-of-use $631–$1,459 14–33y
Progress Energy Carolinas Inc Residential Time of Use EV(R-TOU-EV) Single Phase Time-of-use $787–$1,441 15–27y
Progress Energy Carolinas Inc Residential Time of Use EV(R-TOU-EV) Three Phase Time-of-use $787–$1,441 15–27y

Price it for your own usage and system size →

What would change this

Your roof. Production is modeled for Charlotte on a south-facing array at 20° tilt. Shading, orientation and pitch all move it, and solar resource varies within North Carolina itself.

Your usage pattern. A household at home during the day self-consumes more and exports less, which shortens payback wherever export credit is poor.

Rising rates. These figures hold today's prices flat. Electricity prices have been rising, and every rise shortens payback — so treat these as a conservative bound.

State and local incentives. Not included here, and in some states they are worth more than the federal credit was. Check your state energy office before deciding.