Is solar worth it in New Jersey?

A 7.0 kW rooftop system near Newark produces about 9,138 kWh a year. Priced against the 22 residential tariffs currently on file in New Jersey, payback runs from 8 years on the best of them to 83 on the worst.

No federal tax credit applies to a purchased system. Section 25D ended on December 31, 2025. Leases and power-purchase agreements can still reach the business credit (48E) through 2027, but it is claimed by the system's owner, not by you. Every figure on this page assumes no federal credit and no state or utility incentive.
1305kWh per kW per year
#28of 36 states measured
55%used on site, not exported
$21,000system cost at $3.00/W

Why the tariff matters more than the panels

Two households in New Jersey with identical roofs and identical systems can see paybacks 8 and 83 years apart, purely because they are on different tariffs. Solar produces at midday; households consume in the evening. Only 55% of what these panels make is used as it is made — the rest is exported, and what an exported kWh earns is set by the tariff and by state net metering rules, not by the hardware.

That is why the figures here are computed hour by hour against each real tariff rather than by taking a bill and assuming solar removes a share of it. How this is modeled →

Payback by tariff in New Jersey

7.0 kW system at $3.00/W, household using 1000 kWh a month, no incentives. A range means the export credit is not filed with the tariff and the outcome depends on net metering rules — 20 of 22 tariffs here belong to a utility that reports residential net metering.

UtilityTariffStructure Annual savingPayback
Atlantic City Electric Co RS Time-of-use + tiered $1,459–$2,624 8–14y
Public Service Elec & Gas Co RS-TOU-3P - Residential TOU 3 Period Service Time-of-use $1,293–$2,539 8–16y
Public Service Elec & Gas Co RS - Residential Service Time-of-use + tiered $1,390–$2,487 8–15y
Public Service Elec & Gas Co RLM - Residential Load Management (TOU) Time-of-use $1,130–$2,011 10–19y
Public Service Elec & Gas Co RHS - Residential Heating Service Time-of-use + tiered $1,072–$1,943 11–20y
Jersey Central Power & Lt Co (New Jersey) Residential Service Time-of-use + tiered $1,061–$1,843 11–20y
Jersey Central Power & Lt Co (New Jersey) Residential Geothermal and Heat Pump Service Time-of-use $1,014–$1,814 12–21y
Jersey Central Power & Lt Co (New Jersey) Residential TOD Service Time-of-use $1,024–$1,793 12–21y
Jersey Central Power & Lt Co (New Jersey) Residential Service for Controlled Water Heating Time-of-use $934–$1,691 12–22y
Jersey Central Power & Lt Co (New Jersey) Residential Service for Off-Peak Water Heating Time-of-use $899–$1,627 13–23y
City of Vineland, New Jersey (Utility Company) Residential Time-of-use + tiered $770–$1,452 14–27y
Atlantic City Electric Co RS Delivery Service Time-of-use + tiered $765–$1,370 15–27y
Borough of Madison, New Jersey (Utility Company) Residential Service Tiered $1,125 19y
Borough of Madison, New Jersey (Utility Company) Residential Service TOU Option Time-of-use $1,011 21y
Public Service Elec & Gas Co WHS - Water Heating Storage Service Flat $479–$867 24–44y

Price it for your own usage and system size →

What would change this

Your roof. Production is modeled for Newark on a south-facing array at 20° tilt. Shading, orientation and pitch all move it, and solar resource varies within New Jersey itself.

Your usage pattern. A household at home during the day self-consumes more and exports less, which shortens payback wherever export credit is poor.

Rising rates. These figures hold today's prices flat. Electricity prices have been rising, and every rise shortens payback — so treat these as a conservative bound.

State and local incentives. Not included here, and in some states they are worth more than the federal credit was. Check your state energy office before deciding.