Is solar worth it in Colorado?

A 7.0 kW rooftop system near Denver produces about 11,165 kWh a year. Priced against the 11 residential tariffs currently on file in Colorado, payback runs from 11 years on the best of them to 43 on the worst.

No federal tax credit applies to a purchased system. Section 25D ended on December 31, 2025. Leases and power-purchase agreements can still reach the business credit (48E) through 2027, but it is claimed by the system's owner, not by you. Every figure on this page assumes no federal credit and no state or utility incentive.
1595kWh per kW per year
#4of 16 states measured
47%used on site, not exported
$21,000system cost at $3.00/W

Why the tariff matters more than the panels

Two households in Colorado with identical roofs and identical systems can see paybacks 11 and 43 years apart, purely because they are on different tariffs. Solar produces at midday; households consume in the evening. Only 47% of what these panels make is used as it is made — the rest is exported, and what an exported kWh earns is set by the tariff and by state net metering rules, not by the hardware.

That is why the figures here are computed hour by hour against each real tariff rather than by taking a bill and assuming solar removes a share of it. How this is modeled →

Payback by tariff in Colorado

7.0 kW system at $3.00/W, household using 1000 kWh a month, no incentives. A range means the export credit is not filed with the tariff and the outcome depends on net metering rules — 11 of 11 tariffs here belong to a utility that reports residential net metering.

UtilityTariffStructure Annual savingPayback
Black Hills/Colorado Elec.Utility Co. LP Residential Service: RS-1 Time-of-use + tiered $946–$1,846 11–22y
Public Service Co of Colorado Residential Energy Time Of Use (Schedule RE-TOU) Time-of-use $550–$1,828 11–38y
Public Service Co of Colorado Residential General Service Opt-Out (Schedule R-OO) Time-of-use $865–$1,826 11–24y
Public Service Co of Colorado Residential Service (Schedule R) Time-of-use $851–$1,803 12–25y
San Miguel Power Assn, Inc Single Phase Non-Demand TOU Time-of-use $682–$1,693 12–31y
Mountain Parks Electric, Inc General Service Whole House Time of Use (Residential) Time-of-use $499–$1,424 15–42y
Mountain Parks Electric, Inc General Service Small (Residential) (Under 50 kW) Flat $665–$1,417 15–32y
City of Colorado Springs, Colorado (Utility Company) Energy Wise Standard Time of Day (ETR) Time-of-use $443–$1,355 16–47y
City of Colorado Springs, Colorado (Utility Company) Energy Wise Plus Time-of-Day Option (ETR-P) Time-of-use $490–$1,334 16–43y
Delta Montrose Electric Assn Optional Residential Time Of Use (TOU11) Time-of-use $429–$1,134 19–49y
Black Hills/Colorado Elec.Utility Co. LP Residential Service: RS-2 Flat $494–$1,052 20–43y

Price it for your own usage and system size →

What would change this

Your roof. Production is modeled for Denver on a south-facing array at 20° tilt. Shading, orientation and pitch all move it, and solar resource varies within Colorado itself.

Your usage pattern. A household at home during the day self-consumes more and exports less, which shortens payback wherever export credit is poor.

Rising rates. These figures hold today's prices flat. Electricity prices have been rising, and every rise shortens payback — so treat these as a conservative bound.

State and local incentives. Not included here, and in some states they are worth more than the federal credit was. Check your state energy office before deciding.